Saturday, September 8, 2018

MONEY 145 - AMERICA 13


THIS IS MY 145TH BLOG ON UNDERSTANDING MONEY TOOLS
September, 2018
understandingmoneytools.blogspot.com

This is my 13th blog on America and it’s historical buildup of debt, and most likely my last blog on the subject.

Let’s recap quickly. Everything is “cause and effect”.   I took you from the Revolutionary War debt and our borrowing of money from France up until today’s financial situations, and very realistically our demise brought on by debt within the next 10 years.  Over and over I expressed that wars create debt and debt kills!  Bankers control the world and politicians create our problems.  Most politicians don’t enter Congress and the Senate as millionaires, but they certainly exit that way with very lucrative pensions and better health programs than you and I have.

I also brought forth lessons on investing, what vehicles are available to you, what you should look for and how to hedge your bets.  The concepts and understanding of vocabulary is more important than the actual procedure as you most likely will discuss that with your financial advisors.  In reality you probably will never short a stock nor use options, however now you know what they are and how they are used.

Now, in this blog I promised you the last part for investments and that is gold and currencies.  These are really tertiary.  You might hedge a part of your portfolio in gold (perhaps recommended 10%) however your buying  world currencies is unlikely.

GOLD:  Gold is a hedge and has been used for exchange since almost the beginning of time.  Normally, if there are world wars, troubles, significant drops in the stock or bond markets you will see gold rise.  Gold has been very stable the last few years and traded between $1,000 and $1,200 per ounce; a very narrow range.  I see the same range continuing over the next few years.  As our US dollar gets into trouble from our debt, possible US defaults on bonds, no money for social security or Medicare/Medicaid, gold may up-tick.  You can buy bullion and hold in a safety depository, or buy gold stocks.

CURRENCIES:  A currency is just money.  It can be the US dollar, or any country in the world.  Wealthy families and institutions trade currencies; a lot of dollars involved here with small margins.  This is not for the average guy.  Here is a situation where you might use it from a practical sense:  let’s say that you were going to take a trip to a country like Switzerland.  You expect to spend about $20,000 overall.  You also think the Swiss Franc will gain over the US dollar so you call your bank and order $20,000 in Swiss Francs.  If the Swiss Franc gains 5% between the time you receive your francs and when you leave for Switzerland you made $1,000 on your money and good judgment.  Of course, this could work in reverse and you lose!  Currencies I would pick?  1) Swiss Franc.  A controlled small wealthy country known for finance.  2) Chinese Renminbi (Yuan).  China is incredibly wealthy and economically buying up the world.  Here in the US they are constructing $6 billion in real estate downtown LA, they own $1trillion in US Bonds, they own amongst many companies Smithfield Foods, the largest pork producer in the world.  Internationally, they are buying up control of Lithium for batteries in Bolivia and elsewhere.  Autos? They own Volvo in Sweden.

A STOCK WARNING: It doesn’t hurt to be redundant if I think it may save you money.  At some point the stock markets are going to take a very big hit.  Wall Street has historically lead investors into dark holes and I have seen it for years now and lost money several times.  They did this with mortgage derivatives in the late 1980’s taking down the Savings and Loan business. Again, they repeated the process in 2003-2009 with the same mortgage backed securities, almost taking down the world to the tune of about $60 trillion.  Wall Street loves intangibles that can’t be analyzed well, eg. Facebook, Google, Amazon and Netflix, and many more.  I went through the 1999 dot.com debacle and lost a lot of money.  I knew Tom Bailey from my Vail days who started Janus Funds, was a friend and classmate of the guys who started Invesco Funds also in Denver.  I was friends with Richard Hokin who started American Funds, Henry Kaufman (Kaufman Funds), Jim Galbreath, managing director of Nuveen Investments (roommate and classmate in college) and many more.  We all ate it in 1999, and that also sank good old-line companies like GE and Motorola.  Please remember markets come down much faster than they go up. Why?  Fear is a stronger emotion than greed! Ignore the recent news articles on how great the economy is.  Today, jobs report out 201,000 new jobs.  What kind of jobs?   Also, out today that the average hourly pay for a private sector worker was $27.90/hour; that equates to $50,000/year.  They must have included the salaries of Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos to arrive at this.  Don’t tell me the part-time employees at Target and Walmart are making $50,000/year!

MY LIFE STORY:  In this portion of my blog I will recap a small part of my life hoping to have meaning for you.  I will give you “the good, the bad, and the fun” so that you can learn from my mistakes and also benefit from what my peers and I did correctly.  We are going back to the late 1970’s through the mid 1980’s.  In previous blogs I mention the company Energetics, Inc., an oil/gas exploration and development company.  We will look at it.

Leading up to Energetics I was the designated broker/manager for a higher-end real estate company in Denver. We were full service with residential, commercial and management.  What was smart?  At first we were in an expansive and growing position because of inflation effecting upward mobility by buyers.  We wanted each office to be tightly controlled so we maxed each one out with 25-30 agents who received great administrative care.  We hired with a certain profile in mind, these being nice people, smart, flexible, adaptable, team players who wanted to make money and were trainable.  Our company had a full-time trainer who would spend as much time as needed to make a person successful.  When I went to Energetics, Inc. we had the same philosophy except we weren’t selling so eliminated the “want to make money” aspect and converted to “seeking the highest degree of professionalism and expertise”.  The real estate company recognized that inflation would bring about significant increases in interest rates around 1978, thus significantly hurting the real estate markets.  The owner sold the company.  I was lucky to come across Energetics, Inc. at the same time.

How did this happen?  A friend introduced me to the Chairman of the Board of Energetics, a young oil company with significant positive cash flow.  What did I bring to the table?  Successful management reputation, adaptable, and Securities Licenses including one to form partnerships, the Series 22. 

ENERGETICS HISTORY: In 1973, Bob Mehl, one of the three partners discovered the Pineview field in northeastern Utah.  Amoco drilled the well and it was called the Newton #1.  This made the three original partners, Bob Mehl, Digger Smith and Pat Maher (MM&S), an incredible positive cash flow.  They wanted to build up an oil company and take it public.  (By 1983 Bob’s fine Western Art collection was one of the 5 biggest and best in the USA.  Now, it is mainly on display at the Denver Art Museum.)

I was the first top management person they hired who was not an “oily”, meaning geologist, geophysicist, etc.  Bottom line, this was the best company I could ever imagine working for and with.  The best team players, and no discord in any department.  These three gentlemen were amongst the finest people I have known.  I started the corporate finance department, a coordinating job, and later as needed started an investor relations department to oversee our many limited partners.

ENERGETICS THE GOOD:
-       My initial office was in with the three partners in a separate location using the same great administrative secretary to watch over our needs.
-       Mehl, Maher and Smith (MM&S) purchased a large refinery in Salt Lake City, Western Refining. Still alive today.
-       MM&S were entrepreneurs.  They owned a gold mining company and real estate amongst other things.
-       In 1980, I was involved with them starting Video Concepts, a national retailer for some of the first home video/sound systems.  We raised all the venture capital in one afternoon bringing in Denver oil men we knew.  To run this endeavor we hired a gentleman, Larry Welch, as president. Larry opened about 60 stores within 9 months and the company was sold to the Ekert Drug family from Florida for about  $60 million.  Not a bad return for a 9 month period!
-       At Energetics people came first.  We hired the best and brightest and paid far above average salaries. No skimping.  To make certain employees were happy with themselves, families, and at work we hired a full time psychologist.
-       No hierarchy in this company; first name basis and all treated with same respect from janitor to chairman of the board.
-       As we expanded departments, we hired accountants from Peat Marwick.  Accountants are like the army.  They work well together when coming from the same firm and trained a certain way.  This would equate to having an army and then tossing in a navy man, doesn’t work as well. Our treasurer on through came from Peat Marwick.
-       The 3 principals knew I needed to have a working knowledge of the oil business so they sent me down to Austin, Texas, with the head of geology, Ed Warner, to go over every aspect of the oil business including working closely with the EPA.  This included on rigs to final oil hauling, and gas pipeline transmissions.
-       My job really was a coordination job between banking, investment banking, accounting, and legal.
-       With the help of New Court Securities, a Rothschild company, they taught me much more about taking a company public. As we started forming limited partnerships, I needed to design monthly reports to the limited partners understandable and in layman’s language.  Our quarterly reports included narratives as to progress and financials for each partnership. We did 2 limited partnerships a year up and above industry and joint venture partners. (Combined and leading up to our going public, Digger and I raised about $200 million a year; considerable money back then.) At the time we went public we had 900 limited partner interests, sometimes being the same person in different drilling partnerships. With limited partners it can be costly and time consuming but we had reason for this. (Each hourly cost was designated carefully to that warranted partnership.) When we went public who would be our best voice?  Yes, the Rothschilds but also our limited partners. To be able to invest in a partnership we had criteria to meet: 1) millionaire, no big deal 2) a notable person (if you were an investment banker you needed to be a Senior Vice-President or above). We had actors like Robert Duval, business people like Fred Smith (founder of Federal Express, sports like Jo Ann Carner, (female pro golfer), Bob Entenmann, Sr. (bakeries), Bob Gardner, President of Dean Witter, etc.
-       Our minimum investment for our limited partners was $400,000 in today’s dollar.
-       I enjoyed my role as head of investments as many partners became close acquaintances even if just over the phone. Some would come to the company for a tour and visit Bob Mehl’s art collection, as it was world-renowned. Fred Smith called me frequently and reminisced over tales of when he started Federal Express and almost lost it. He illegally took the money out of his company one weekend and went to gamble in Las Vegas with it. He luckily hit, put the money back into Federal Express and saved the company from bankruptcy.
-       Our first lawyer, John Reynolds, was another great hire. None of us liked lawyers, however John came up in the world first as a priest, then a monk in France, then gave that up, law school, married and had children.  The nicest and smartest lawyer I ever knew, being able to speak 6 languages fluently.
-       At this time, Pat Maher held bible classes in one of Energetics conference rooms every Tuesday afternoon with a few of the wealthiest oilmen in Denver.  They were trying to make sense out of why God gave them soooo much money, and what they should do with it.  Pat tithed 10% of his income to the Catholic Church as well as giving to other causes.
-       Our biggest stockholders were Baron Guy and Evelyn de Rothschild.  Because of this we were amongst the few selected to make it big through their investment banks finally becoming a publicly traded company in March, 1983.
-       At the time, President Carter wanted the USA to be independent in oil and gas and not be at the mercy of OPEC Nations. Government regulations were put in place for controlled pricing (these being referred to as “sections”). 
-       As we grew quickly, I had my own “corner of the world” with my finance department, and then including investor relations.
-       At first, we had the same situation other oil companies, real estate companies, and mining companies had.  This negative was the time delay between buying mineral rights to drill and the actual drilling and production. (This could take 2 years in test/research time. I won’t cover the reasons. With real estate it would be seeing a large project opportunity and closing on it.)  We solved this problem by forming a new entity.  We started Energetics Capital Limited Partnership (ECLP), raising money from heavy hitters and industry partners. This partnership money was used to purchase mineral rights after we did initial analysis of quality.  Then, this entity did the research needed before we drilled the first test well with Energetics operating company.  ECLP got a return, plus carried interest in drilling and production.
-       Within the 4 years I was with the company we grew to 300 people including an office in Houston.  We outgrew our first 2 story office building at Inverness, Denver, and built a new all glass multi-story building.
-       By that time, I had 3 personal secretaries to save me on many endeavors.  I hired them with the personal traits I mentioned earlier plus great in English to tackle letter writing and reporting.
-       I had pretty much free rein in the company so I bought a home on the water in Del Ray Beach, Florida and Digger Smith and I owned a condo for skiing and getting away at Copper Mountain, Colorado. I took plenty of time off as long as I watched closely over business while being away.  (Much later in 1992 Pat Maher and I started National Pure Water Company patterned after our oil partnerships, expansion and the hopes of going public.  We sold out as a private corporation.)
-       In the end, and I mean the end, President Reagan changed all regulations that President Carter had in place and destroyed the US independent oil producers including Energetics. Perhaps this was good for Americans decreasing inflation, but certainly not good for me and other independent oil producers!

ENERGETICS THE BAD: Up until about 150 employees you are considered a Stage 1 company.  Then, you need to really listen to Wall Street, your managing investment banking firm, and follow their advice. All companies will need to do this if you want to go public with a good firm.
-       In about 1980, we were told by Rothschild that we needed to bring in a well-known president for the company, Tom.  Actually, he was more of a figure- head who would fall asleep during meetings.
-       With the new president, he brought in the caste system.  Lower-level employees were to call management by their last name preceded by Mr./Mrs./Miss…(it was B.S.)
-       We needed to bring a few lawyers in-house from a big legal firm replacing our good John Reynolds. These guys were ego maniacs that didn’t sit well.
-       We needed to bring in a Chief Financial Officer (CFO), Tom, from Price Waterhouse….good guy.
-       We needed to start a human resource department; there went the growing salaries, and new starts had to comply with industry average wages lower than what we paid in the past.
-       The personality of the company changes with growth, expect it.
-       I told Digger I would stay through taking the company public, get my stock and start my own company someday. He respected this, and said Energetics and he would be my first support.  We structured the stock giving the first 100 employees 1/4 of all the issued stock.  This is done in advance with stock options at certain dates.  The employee has to pay something toward the purchase so that was ten cents per share.  (We went public at $15/share.)

THE FUN: Some of this you could never get away with in today’s corporate standards.
-       I had 3 personal secretaries. My first was, Lynn, who was a genius.  She was also married, about 5’-10” with a body out of sight, very well over-endowed above the Mason Dixon Line!  Lynn never wore a bra and always a tight knit top.   Digger asked me once if I could ask her to at least wear a bra. I told him she was good for business as a born “schmoozer” and she became a “show and tell” piece when the Wall Street investment bankers came through. No sex involved in the office, but we had fun.  Over the phone Lynn had investor, Bob Entenmann Sr., wrapped around her finger so he had Fed Ex or UPS deliver fresh Danish pastry to us most mornings, paid by him.  I had a large, all glass office.  Periodically, if Lynn put through an important call to me, she would come by my glass wall, door closed, lift up her knit top and press her bare breasts against the glass to watch me blush and get flustered.  After a few minutes she would walk past with Windex and a paper towel to clean off the marks. It was really quite funny!
-       We had such a positive cash flow that we started a short-term cash management department run by Gary Watkins out of United Banks of Denver.  Gary was a character so our departments decided we needed to start each morning with a contest, “dirty joke of the day” as a conference call; my departments against his department. It created a lot of fun and camaraderie.

SIDE NOTES:  I know this blog is long already, but I won’t be returning to my days at Energetics and thought these side events would be of interest.
-       I needed to be in NYC on business around Thanksgiving 1980 with Rothschild.  One evening a friend, George Davison Ackley, invited me over to his condo at the Dakota.  The Dakota is known for quiet wealth. George was an heir of big oil money, and always had a butler and cook since he graduated from Yale.  We were the same age.  I mentioned to George that night that the entry was very dark, almost scary and then a person passes through a dark courtyard to reach the elevators to the condos.  On December 8th about 2 weeks later John Lennon, an owner in the Dakota, was gunned down outside the entry.  I will always remember.
-       I really like tennis and was a good player.  With my NYC business I made it a habit each year to mix in the US Open at Forest Hills.  My good friend, John, was a top international chair umpire on the Hunt’s payroll. Everyone knew John.  Tickets for the events were quite expensive so this is how I got around that, and to the best seats each day.  As everyone knew John, I would go in with him wearing his official umpire shirt and he would wear my shirt, no need to check tickets. Once in, we would hit the men’s room, exchange shirts. Next step was for me to follow John to desirable box seat sections. Again there, all officials knew John and he would ask who wasn’t going to use their box seats for the day.  Over and over again, it happened to be Mike Wallace of 60 Minutes, so I had wonderful seats all day benefit of Mike!
-       One last one for you. Another good friend, Carl Meyer, was both a good snow skier and sailor.  When I wanted a “catch-up” and good dinner I would call Carl and have dinner on him at the New York Yacht Club.  You would think the Yacht Club to be on the water but it is in Midtown Manhattan.  Great sailing memorabilia.

That’s it!  I hope this isn’t as boring as reading Mein Kampf.  Hitler had 2 years in prison in 1924 to write his blog!





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