Tuesday, August 28, 2018

MONEY 142 - AMERICA 10


THIS IS MY 142ND BLOG ON UNDERSTANDING MONEY TOOLS
August, 2018
understandingmoneytools.blogspot.com

This is our 10th blog on America.  At the end of the last blog I said we would cover stocks, bonds, gold and currencies in this blog.  Such a mundane topic.  I will try to make it somewhat of interest relating past stories and mostly covering areas that may be purposeful or of interest for you.  This is like “putting perfume on a pig”, but I will try my best to make it fun.

(These 4 topics were covered in great length in previous blogs.  If you want more information and in detail, please go to my blog-site above, and then scroll down numerically until you come across headings that may be of interest.)

Even in brief, 4 topics is too much for one blog so let’s only cover stocks in this blog and the rest in subsequent blogs. See how quickly my mind changes!

HISTORY:  Let’s start out with the broadest of areas and the longest in America’s history. Benjamin Franklin helped start our first American stock exchange; the Philadelphia Stock Exchange in 1790.  Today, we mainly have the New York Stock Exchange, founded in 1792, and the NASDAQ, founded in 1971 (the first electronic stock exchange).  At one point we also had the American Stock Exchange started in the 1800’s.  The Penny Stock Market or Over the Counter Market is an exchange for lower priced capitalization stocks that have lower prices.

In addition to these exchanges there are other exchanges all over the world.  As for instance, the London Stock exchange started in 1698, and the German Stock Exchange started in 1585.

I find Americans quite uninformed as to stocks, the various facets and the people who make a living representing them for the amount of money they invest.  As a point on this, I addressed a close friend of mine on the issue that our markets are so over priced that they are poised to come down 40-50%.  My friend, retired and a successful businessman, replied that he deals with a certified financial planner and he did not hold any stocks, only mutual funds.  Unbelievable.  Giving credit to him you could possibly see this two different ways.  He did not buy one individual stock, but a mutual fund which is comprised of stocks.  What is a mutual fund?  A mutual fund is a composite of many stocks put together through analysis by an investment institution.  In my eyes you do own stocks when you hold mutual funds and if the stock markets transition into a “Bear” market you are going to get hit. As you probably heard or read, we just crossed over into the longest “Bull” market in history.  Paralleling this, we also have the highest priced markets in history, with so little underlying tangible value.

Let’s stay with representatives who might give you advice and a bit of history.  In the older days, let’s say the 1960’s, when I went to college for business  (5 years) we had “stock brokers”.  As a stockbroker you had a license (Series 1) and that license was held by a company having a “principal’s” license, normally an investment banking firm.  These stockbrokers were held in high esteem, and you can picture them with their white shirts, suits and perhaps a bow tie.  This was before computers so each stockbroker did his own analysis based upon a company’s income statement and balance sheet. His compensation paid to his principal could range 5-6% of a transaction.  In today’s world we have gone to the term “Certified Financial Planner” and there is a certification for this up and above a Series 7 and 63 License.  There is also a “Certified Financial Analyst” but we won’t go there.  In reality today, because of liabilities, a financial planner sticks with outside money managers and mutual funds his/her investment firm has a signed agreement with in regard to compensation; this is usually in the realm of 125 to 150 basis points.  Did I lose you there?  What is a basis point? One basis point is one, one hundredth of a point, therefore 150 basis points is 1.5%.  This is the “speak” in the financial world.

Sometimes you will find insurance people with a less intensive licensing, the Series 6.  This permits them to sell mutual funds and insurance annuities.

STOCKS, A BRIEF SUMMARY: 
-       What is a stock?  A piece of ownership in a company.
-       What is to buy long?  To buy a stock with the intent to hold or sell in the future.
-       What is to sell short?  To sell the stock today and buy it back in the future thinking the stock will go down.
-       What is an option call?  This is the right to purchase stock at a specific price within a certain time frame.  If you don’t sell the option or exercise your right to purchase before an expiration date you lose your money.  One option equals 100 shares of that stock.
-       What is an option put?  Similar to selling a stock short.  You sell an option at a certain price and need to buy that stock back at a set price within a certain time frame, or lose your option money.
-       What is a mutual fund?  To buy into a group of stocks.
-       What is an index?  A measurement of or grouping of stocks in the same industry.
-       What is the DOW Jones Industrial Average?  A group of 30 large companies.
-       What is the S&P 500?  500 stocks made up from the both the NYSE and NASDAQ.
-       What is margin?  Borrowing money from an investment banker rather than a commercial bank to leverage your stock position.  Borrowing on stocks can be very dangerous if the market goes down as you will have a “margin call” to cover the percentage of permitted loan to value.

Let’s look at stocks and various off-shoots.  Holding various security licenses I had to know all the intricacies of investing and hedging tools.   Options are a separate market but can be used nicely with stocks.  To further disturb your mind, you have sub-categories of options using “straddles” and “spreads”.  To further sub-category “spreads” you have such strategies as “butterfly spreads”.  Yes, I had to know when and how to apply all, but only stuck to stocks and options for my own accounts.

Here is where I have used options.  Let’s say I bought a stock this year.  Assume my profit position is $100,000 on this stock.  I think the market may tank this year.  If I sell the stock within 12 months of purchase I pay Uncle Sam short-term gains, or ordinary tax rate of 35%.  Then I pay short-term gain rate on state tax. If I lived in California I would lose overall 50% of my profit.  I don’t like the looks of losing 50% of my profit (if you hold a stock or real estate over 12 months it is long-term capital gains at a lower rate).  Okay, here is what I do.  I look at how much it would take me in options to hedge my long stock profit position.  Now, I am not looking at buying a call option, however buying a put or sell option.  Therefore, I am mitigating losses if they should occur with my hedge and not selling any stock.  If the market goes down I make money on my option to offset the loss on my stock.  Got it?

Here is a kicker to be aware of.  Options might not equate to the price movement of a stock. As we have said, this is a different exchange and market.  Traders may hold off on the like movement of the stock.  The other negative is that commissions are higher than on stocks.

I don’t want this blog to go on too long so we will end it with a little story, and then continue with investing in the next blog.

In my previous blogs I mentioned much of my professional life was dealing with Wall Street and New York investment banking firms.  At first, my thoughts were that I would be dealing with elite gentlemen, but came to a rude awakening.  What you think of in regard to people behind the scenes and what is reality are most likely two different things.  For one, I learned how the word “f…k” and “f…king” could be used as a noun, verb, adverb and adjective, even in the same sentence!  These guys with the firms are tough and out for one thing, money.   The floor traders are mostly tough and rugged. Primadonna’s don’t last.  There were some wonderful men and women in the trade and I made many friends.  I tried to be more upstanding, even though I’ve been called every name in the book!  One wonderful older friend was Sidney Sternbach.  I went to college with his son, John.  John lives in Denver and we still talk several times a week.  The Sternbach’s owned 2 seats on the New York Stock Exchange and leased those seats to Bear Stearns, an investment firm.  Sidney at 82 years old would still work the floor trading on the NYSE.  I would call him up, go over to Wall Street and we would have a wonderful lunch in the “member’s dining room” of the Exchange. You had to own a seat to be able to eat there.  Sidney “Stupot” Sternbach  was awarded the oldest and longest member of the NYSE working the floor every day.  Sidney lived life well and died exactly the way he wished.  He went home from the Exchange on a Friday, fell ill over a weekend and died the next Tuesday.  We should all be so lucky!  While working in NYC I had a most privileged life.  For night staying when working on the Energetics’s oil deal and other endeavors I had the Rothschild’s apartment to stay at or my wealthy friend who purchased a two floor condominium at 54th Street and the East River.  Everything was taken care of!

Another quick lesson I learned was insider trading. Way back in the early 1970’s while working in Vail, Colorado, I went over for dinner at a very wealthy Texas family’s home.  I asked the patriarch of the family and close friend what he thought of a stock I was thinking of buying. His comment to me is so true even today,  “don’t touch stocks unless you have an in, by the time you are buying a good stock we have probably made our money, and have gotten out”.  Insider trading with good knowledge of what was happening. All the wealthiest families have many, many people working for them on both long and short selling.  Many of the wealthiest are considered “institutions” so they have a “one leg up” from you and me.  They borrow at London InterBank Overseas Rates not at the high bank rates you and I borrow at.

Here’s another fun little story before I leave this blog.  While working for another wealthy family in New York around 1990, we started off each morning with a conference call with the owners of about 6-8 of the top well- known stock funds.  It all had to deal with what we currently knew on companies; insider information.  Here’s another “pisser”!  If I periodically had time at the family office they had me speak to various companies to squeeze out insider information.  Here is how it worked. We made a much higher annual return on investment in short selling, than our long buying department….so that is what we aimed at.  This made me feel quite uncomfortable.   I would be given a false name, I represented a false investment company and was given a phone number that would be answered by our employee stating that false company.  I needed to get the CEO, CFO, President or Treasurer on the phone.  I would be “very interested” in buying a large block of their stock.  (In actuality I was trying to find reason for us to short the hell out of the stock!)  If I could not get through to the party I gave them my false company phone number.  A person on our phone lines would know how to answer and direct that call to me.  If a company looked way overpriced our department head of short selling would fly to the company and meet.  When a decision was made to buy a short position in a  company we took very large positions, mostly over $25 million and place one of our people on the investment.

Did you know up until April 16, 2013 it was legal for Congressmen to use insider information on trading stocks?  On that date we passed the Stock Act which supposedly put an end to it. Big laugh!  Insider information is so pervasive throughout.  You know if a Congressman has information most of the 15,000 lobbyists have the information as they give benefits and money to Congressmen for their “projects”.

We will continue in the next blog on America and stocks, bonds, gold and currencies.  I will try to add in some of my personal stories you hopefully will find of interest. In the meantime, if you want an older book on some of the corruption with some humor dating into the 1980’s get your hands on a copy of “Liar’s Poker” published in 1989 and written by Michael Lewis.  It is a fun book for me as I knew and worked with several people in the book, and brings back memories. The book is based largely around Solomon Bros. which was the king of investment firms back then, and deals to a great degree in mortgage backed bonds and their creation starting about 1983.  The ups and downs. Billions made and then the shit hit the fan taking down so many, including the Savings and Loan industry.

If you read my background in the past blog you will note I went through a month of training in Solomon Bros. mortgage backed securities and bonds.

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