Tuesday, July 31, 2018

MONEY 137 - AMERICA 5


THIS IS MY 137TH BLOG ON UNDERSTANDING MONEY TOOLS
August, 2018
understandingmoneytools.blogspot.com

In this blog we will continue on “America”.

Before we get started let’s recap from the previous blog covering socialism and immigration for this country.  Viewing history of good socialistic countries there have to be fundamentals and we do not have them; small geographic area, nationalism, similar cultures including religions, and more.  The big “more” is a country that is solvent and debt free.  Unfortunately, America is the most indebt country in the world both as a country and per capita on an individual basis.

The first step to equalize the “playing field” might be taxation.  Something like this might work:  no personal income tax on the first $15,000, then a flat tax with no exemptions perhaps 15% for everyone.  I also think a needed “asset tax” should be included.  Corporations are passing through far too many hundreds of millions of dollars to top executives and shareholders. An asset tax would set a very liberal personal amount, let’s say $50 million.  Above that amount of personal assets you would pay a fairly hefty tax.

Much holds true for immigration.  Successful immigration into a country only comes about defining how many immigrants should be permitted in, (exclusive of humanitarian situations), what will be the need for immigrants, how will the country support these immigrants, how will a country regulate and control these people including children and set up a defined workable system, and more.  Again, the big “more” is how to pay for it.

From a strictly humanitarian standpoint it would have been much smarter for the G-20 countries to have come together, worked with war-torn countries like Iraq, Afghanistan and Syria and provided “safe zones”, within their countries and guarded by an international group.  This would have cost billions, however less expensive in the long run than what we now have.  It also would not have displaced people from their countries.

Our prior blogs on “America” and the history of war was to show the direct correlation that war brings with debt, and debt “kills”!  So, the pernicious effects of war on the country and individuals.  I presented the growth of debt with major wars, not including some wars like the Mexican-American War, Philippine-American War 1899-1902, and the Spanish-American War.  Economically America lives and thrives on “war”, making only a few people and industries very wealthy!  (Please remember the statement of General/President Dwight D. Eisenhower when leaving office in 1961 to be very mindful of the dangers of big government and the military/industrial complex in this country.)  How about “cold wars” through the various administrations?  I can only remember two.  The first was the geopolitical tensions after WWII between Russia and the United States and its NATO allies starting in the 1950s.  The second was also with Russia during the Reagan administration.  Both eras spent a ton of money on the military/industrial build-up.  After WWII until the Berlin Wall came down in 1989 we were to a degree fighting Communism.  We had to show the world that we could outspend the Russians and down Communism.  Here is a side point.  Just like guns do not kill people, Communism, Socialism and Capitalism and their existence are no better or worse than the people within that society carrying forth doctrines.

While we mentioned “cold wars” above let’s go on a side tour.  We spent a fortune during the Reagan Administration.  Who really controls the power in the USA?  Ronald Reagan most people know as a movie actor, handsome, articulate and charismatic.  Reagan was a Democrat and favored the policies of President FDR.  In 1962 Reagan switched to becoming a Republican.  The California wealthy including the military/industrial machine wanted him to run for governor, but he needed to be a Republican.  Conservative Barry Goldwater helped in this transformation.  Ronald Reagan became governor of California in 1967 with the help of the “money machine”.  Then, as we all know the power players helped elect him president in 1980.  (His paybacks to the wealthy and big business came in the form of the 1986 Tax Reform Act which significantly reduced taxes for the wealthy.  It also paved the way for the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act and Sherman Anti-Trust Act.  The final stab in the heart of the Sherman Anti-Trust Act came in 1999 under President Bill Clinton.  (I have covered all of this in detail in previous blogs so if you want more information seek those out.)

As I continue to write, I would like to make statements of fact that I search out that may not come to you. I want you to draw conclusions based upon these facts versus my adding subjectivity.

Let’s start out with a grandiose question and work from there.  Especially since the year 2000 has the USA had real growth or manipulated false appearances of growth similar to a Ponzi scheme?  As we mentioned in our previous blog on America at the end of 1999 the US debt was $5.269 trillion.  Currently, our debt is $21.276 trillion and we will probably need a call for more money to operate within the next 6 to 12 months.  Will Congress permit more borrowing unless we are facing a war?  Most likely not.  This may be one reason we are building our defenses against Iran along with Saudi Arabia and Israel.  Also, it seems politicians do not want peace with North Korea and Russia: big mistake.

Debt:  The USA gross federal debt to gross domestic product was 105.4% in 2017.  Now, if you add in personal debt we stand at about 300% debt to gross domestic product.  Even though it is normally great to be number one in the world, this is not the place to brag. The personal side of debt is how we grew our economy.  Gross domestic product is the total of goods and services purchased during a given year, less debt and interest and less our import/export balance of trade.  Let’s take a look at our typical American consumer who has no or little savings nor investments:
-       Interest free car loans at an outstanding amount of $1.25 trillion.
-       Low interest home loans with very little or no money down.
-       Low interest student loans at an outstanding amount of $1.25 trillion.
-       Credit cards that do not require paying off balances month to month. The average indebtedness is now $16,000 per individual.  It should be noted that in Europe and other countries that offer Visa and Master Cards the individuals balance needs to be paid off each month or you lose your card privileges.
-       Interest free furniture loans with no payments due for several years.

Get the point above?  No “skin in the game”.  Walk away.  This happened in the real estate industry in 2008-2010.

Right now in America we have even a greater financial threat than presented above and that is our corporate debt in every industry.  When I went to college we used a “liquid asset test”, now also referred to as a “quick ratio test”.  This simply is the ratio between the assets on a corporate balance sheet and the liabilities.  The ratio for financial solidarity was always 1.5 or 2.0 to 1.0.  This meant you had about twice as many assets as you had liabilities hanging out there.  Currently, with the games corporations have played with banks, Wall Street and bonds the ratio is 1.0 to 8.0.  Disaster about to happen! Yes, that means, excluding some of the top corporations we have only $1. in assets for every $8. in debt.  The USA could never bail out this situation.

This is enough for another blog. We will continue on “America”.

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