Thursday, March 23, 2017

MONEY 115 - THINGS


THIS IS MY 115TH BLOG ON UNDERSTANDING MONEY TOOLS

In this blog we are going to address three varied topics; technology hacking in today’s world, interest rate hikes effect on investing and the American travesty of companies hiring HB-1 foreign workers replacing US citizens.

Let’s start with technology and hacking.  I am not a techie but want to address how bad hacking has become for every citizen, not just branches of the government.  It is outrageous and will get worse, there is no such thing as privacy.  Shortly after I signed up for Facebook my contact list was hacked and stolen.  I am going to concisely inform of my latest scenario of how I was hacked.  Most of you already are familiar.  My Microsoft Office annual subscription was due.  I paid the amount in person at the local retail store and returned home to install it on the “up to 5 computers”.  As I entered Microsoft’s website exactly as instructed an unfamiliar screen popped up with Microsoft’s logo and information asking for my personal information.  Then, as happened to me before, another screen popped up stating that installation could not be accomplished and to call an 800 number. I did, and of course a nice English speaking man most likely from India came on line identifying himself from Microsoft and willing to help if I turned my computer over to him.  Last time I did this, similar things occurred and I was told my computer had a virus. It cost me about $100 to find out I did not have a virus on the computer and I was scammed. This was similar, I disconnected.  Finally, through a true Microsoft 800 number I reached a tech person. He assisted, same thing happened on my computer and he asked me to close out my screen as I was hacked.  The true Microsoft tech person informed me that 1/3 of the time when you go to a Microsoft site you may be hacked and the company can’t keep up with the criminals…..great!  Be aware if you aren’t already.  Same goes for getting phone numbers from sources like Google.  The first few phone numbers may be phony, as it is when a person wants Microsoft’s local number or 800 number. Google knows these are phony but these scam artists are paying Google more than honest companies.

A friend in the tech industry gave me some advice:
-       Use Ad Blocker.
-       Disconnect your phone “locator” except when using it.
-       Turn off the phone whenever possible.
-       Don’t leave your computer connected to sites, servers or emails for long periods.
-       Again, turn off the computer whenever not using.
-       Remove phone apps that aren’t needed.

Let’s head now into what has happened in the last week or so and implications.  Janet Yellen and the Feds raised interest rates another 1/4% (25 basis points) and likely to raise rates more this year.  This will affect interest rates on credit and car and home loans; short term credit more so than long term loans.  This should have had a negative impact on markets as it will slow the economy and hurt exports because of a stronger dollar.  Just the opposite happened; stocks further rose and bonds held steady.  Go figure, as no one can.  The Trump effect?!

The effect on bond markets should have been negative and were not.  What is the norm for exchange traded bond funds (ETF’s)?  Down.  With the rising of interest rates “open end” bond funds would be advisable versus “closed end”.  We have discussed this in past blogs.  With open end bond funds the funds will use new money to continue buying bonds with higher yield. The NAV should rise (Net Asset Value of fund).

With the announcement of higher interest rates, the government came out with the statement that they were going to alter the way credit scores were calculated with the end result being your credit score going up.  This will enable more people to continue buying things, like cars, even though higher interest rates may have normally shut them out of markets.  Not good. All we are doing is taking the average American more into debt. For instance, the already enormous debt of people with car loans (over $1 trillion) will go even higher.

Let’s quickly touch upon HB-1 worker visas.  60 Minutes on March 19, 2017 had an excellent segment addressed to this topic.  We have discussed this along with Globalization in prior blogs.  I only wished more Americans would have watched 60 Minutes and that reality would set in as to what the big companies are doing and why.  We are forcing our current American workers to train foreign workers so they can be hired for significantly lower wages, then laying off our American workers many who are 45 years and older.  These workers are being threatened that if they don’t go along with this training they will lose their pensions.  These workers will most likely never be let back into the US work world, and have to settle for part time jobs at minimum wage.  Horrible that our country and politicians would permit this to happen!
Permit me to briefly comment on our new proposed health care bill; should not happen.  We should have a good national health care reforming and adding to the existing “Obama Care”.  Any health care proposal should stand on it’s own credibility rather than being intermingled with tax reform and lower tax rates.  I believe it is impossible to reform health care without bringing these 4 essential ingredients together in compromise, they are:
-       Hospitals
-       Insurance carries
-       Doctors
-       Drug companies, with competitive bidding

Oh well, the US government debt going higher, people’s debt going higher, more Americans out of the work place, and less health care.  When is the balloon going to bust?

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