Saturday, April 26, 2014

MONEY 43 - LIFE THINGS


THIS IS MY 43RD BLOG ON UNDERSTANDING MONEY TOOLS

This is going to be a fun re-cap of some of my life’s hard learned lessons. Hopefully, if you are a reader of my blogs you will learn from my mistakes. Because of so many mistakes, this will be a lengthy blog!

I have made a lot of money, and also lost a lot of money in my life. Some losses are from economic changes, some are from selecting the wrong partners, and some are from not having the legal agreements in place. I am using actual businesses I have started, or have been involved with and tell you what went awry. The old saying is, “don’t repeat your mistakes”. Here we go….

In 1971, a friend, who is still a good friend today, asked if I would put up the money and write the business plan for Denver’s first health/organic food restaurant, called Hanuman’s Conscious Cookery.  The name of the restaurant named after “the great monkey”, Hanuman. The corporate stock ownership was divided 3 ways, myself getting 1/3, my partner getting 1/3 and a non-profit company he was affiliated with in California getting 1/3. Now, coming out of college with a business degree I should have structured a buy/sell agreement written by a lawyer and I did not follow my wonderful professors’ advice. After a couple of successful years in business my friend and managing partner wanted out, and gave his 1/3 stock ownership to the non-profit, thus leaving me with a minor shareholder interest. We did not have a “first right of refusal” on stock purchase. It turned out well for me, but I was totally at the mercy of controlling interest. Lucky. Lesson learned, have an understanding in writing as to what happens if a partner wants out, dies or other unforeseen things happen. Perhaps three outside appraisals of a business should be completed.

In the 1970’s I was broker/manager of one of Denver’s largest full service real estate companies. (This company’s name I won’t mention.) After a couple of years with the company, the company was sold. I was going to be out, so one of the owner’s asked if I wanted to go into business with him as he was buying up residential and commercial properties for rental income. I declined, and am happy I did. He took several investors financially for a lot of money.  How? He pocketed the rental income, didn’t pay mortgages and it was several months for banks to foreclose. His investors lost their money, and he left the country.

After that I joined a wonderful small oil and gas company. The company was Energetics, Inc. and I was their 19th employee and became manager of partnerships and corporate finance, later starting the investor relations department. Energetics had three of the finest owners I ever have known.  We grew to almost 300 employees and contract workers with offices in Houston, a supply yard in Austin, and owned a refinery, Western Oil Company in Salt Lake City. In March 1983, Energetics, Inc. became a publicly traded company with the assistance of Rothschild, Inc. in New York City. The owners gave the first 100 employees 25% of the company’s stock, making these individuals comfortably well off. Insider stock is controlled by Securities Exchange Commission Regulation 144, which restricts the salability of stock for 2 years. Lesson to be learned, industries can change. Oil/gas pricing went from highs to new lows, crushing most of the US independent oil producers, including Energetics, Inc.  The company went bankrupt and we lost any value to our stock. Thought we were retired, nope. Another lesson learned from one of the owners was that everyone in a company serves a purpose in the company just like members on a sports team and should be treated with the same respect whether it is the chairman of the board or the janitor. Treat people the way you would want to be treated!

While working for Energetics, my past restaurant partner asked if I would put up the seed capital and write a new business plan for a fine continental food restaurant he would be the manager of in Durango, Colorado. Our third initial partner was also a good friend and fine restaurant architect, so we started “Eye of the Eagle” restaurant. Yum….fresh fish flown in, oysters Rockefeller, prime cut steaks, etc. We needed far more capital and the owner of the building had investors who wanted in. We relinquished 61% of the stock to them and controlling interest. This partner was an out of state lawyer and CPA. One lesson I should have listened to is never have a partner who is a lawyer or an accountant, they know more tricks than you ever will know! After several months the restaurant was more successful than was projected. The controlling partner abrogated our managing agreement, closed down our corporation and continued business under a new corporation, “Harpers”. We were entitled to damages, and could sue; I did. Have you ever tried suing an out of state lawyer?  It all comes down to time and money. I needed a law firm in Denver where I lived and also a corresponding law firm in the state where this ex-partner lived. Bottom line, after several months and thousands of dollars in legal fees, I wrote the entire deal off.

After leaving Energetics, I purchased 18 oil and gas wells, and 2,000 acres of mineral rights for development drilling surrounding the producing wells in Gorman, Texas.  I had 3 partners, and we formed a partnership for ownership and operations called Gorman Partners. We selected one partner’s company to run operations. The owner was retired from one of the major oil companies. This partnership was a disaster from the onset. First, our Texas lawyer who closed our purchase of the mineral rights delayed the filing with the county clerk and recorder until the end of the week because of the long drive to the county seat. It later surfaced that the company who sold us the operating wells, Comanche Oil and Gas, sold the mineral rights twice, once to Gorman Partners and again to another company, who filed of public record before our filing……ouch! Lawsuit. We didn’t sue the out of state lawyer for negligence, as I had been there before trying to sue lawyers! We did sue Comanche Oil and Gas in Denver court for fraud and compensation. The Denver court system was backed up one year for a court date. Before our court appearance Comanche Oil went bankrupt, and we had nothing to look forward to as far as compensation, and had accrued healthy legal bills that we paid.  Lesson to learned, whether it is oil and gas rights, real estate or another asset that you need to file of public record as soon as possible after transfer of title or deed and money changes hands.


Time went on, I was doing well, so I decided to go and live in Paris, France, for three months. I received notice that these oil/gas wells were not performing as projected. Our managing partner blamed it on paraffin problems clogging the wells’ flow. Another partner and I went to Texas to interview our on sight well hands and go over operations; nothing amiss. We went back to Denver and decided to have an accounting firm do an audit. Our wonderful, father like managing partner had skimmed $250,000 from the Gorman Partnership.  We had a meeting with the partners including this man about the fraud. He had planned this well in advance and told us he had everything including his home, cars and all assets transferred out of his name and his wife’s name over a year before all this came to light.  Colorado’s statute of limitations is 12 months, and if we sued him all we would show is more legal bills and no compensation for damages.

How did this man accomplish this?  Each oil and gas well normally has several owners including mineral rights owners. Purchasing companies of the oil and of the gas have records of individuals or companies who own an interest in each well.  A “division order” of all the owners is created, so that checks can be sent out monthly for payment on purchase of the oil and gas.  After a couple of years into our business and production, our managing partner called these companies who purchased our minerals and gave them bogus corporations that he owned. Our audit tracked two additional, non-existent shell companies back to his address. Where there is a will there is a way! Lesson to be learned, stay on top of things. If something doesn’t appear right or missing projections, try to be a problem solver early on.

During this period with 5 other people I started two companies in the gasoline retail service station business. These companies were National Data Corporation which was computer (hardware and software) related to the industry, and Warranty Service Systems, Inc.  (WSSI) in Wheatridge, Colorado. WSSI became fairly large and successful. This company managed two auto insurance programs, Amoco’s Certicare Program and Shell’s Autocare Program. Part of WSSI’s business included monthly reminder cards mailed to customers of gas station retailers for auto service and monthly specials. We took National Data Corporation public and I gave my wife a couple million shares and I owned a couple million shares of stock; a penny stock, but nice. The stock was trading at around $.15/share, but “thinly traded” with very little stock in the “float”. What does that mean? Most of the stock was held by us, the insiders, and restricted with the Securities Commission. Very few shares of stock were owned by the public therefore, very little traded and very few trades would make the stock either go up or down.  Then, one of our original very wealthy partners who had control of the stock decided he wanted to take the company private and control the business operations.  He didn’t concern himself with paying his original partners for their shares of stock. Could we have sued, yes. Would I have just lost more money in legal fees, yes!  Lessons to be learned…..be careful of partners. Wealthy partners can get what they want, and will sink you with legal fees if you try to sue them. They can outlast you financially! The original partners’ stock in the company was all restricted, and again I found myself lacking liquidity.

About the same time, in 1986, a classmate of mine from college, great guy, and CFO of one of the largest builders of downtown Denver office buildings resigned his position because of the downturn in real estate caused by the collapse of the oil industry.  He had a great idea related to the auto business. Because of my relations in the auto industry/gas station business he approached me to be a partner, which I agreed with. We started a company called Auto Source, Ltd. which was a unique auto leasing company in that our company strategy would “be open and honest” with the customer, in a business known for straying from honesty and hiding the actual cost of a new auto.  We would work from actual manufacture cost plus $500 fee. We had several top dealership people join us including some leasing managers.  At this time, and to date unheard of, the auto manufacturers decided to build financing and interest into their car prices to the dealers, thus a dealer could offer free or 1% financing to the customer. We had commercial loans from local banks for auto leases and purchases,  but we could not compete with zero interest. The manufacturers protected their dealers and we closed up shop!  Lesson learned…..business can change quickly, if you can’t adapt, you are out.

I will shift now to about 2002 when in previous blogs I have written about being an active partner in one of Arizona’s largest master planned real estate communities. After 10 years of work and a lot of money, we lost the development and our money. Why? We didn’t see the oncoming 2008 banking/financial crisis and recession in the US.  CITI Bank called our operating line of credit. Land developers including our company could not get new bank financing. Was it our fault, no. The business theory up until 2007/2008 was to build assets, then borrow on assets to accomplish more in business and development.  The partners had enough cash to sustain a normal recession period.  Don’t assume things.  When you assume, you make an “ ‘ass’ out of ‘u’ and ‘me’ “. Lessons learned:
-    Large developments take longer therefore have more variables.
-       Don’t assume that historical recessions only last 18-24 months.
-       Don’t assume that successor mayors and commissioners in office will favor your project and work well with you. This may delay a project years.
-       Business can change, laws can change, regulations can change, almost  
     anything can change and you are out.

What value does this have? These were expensive lessons I learned, both financially and emotionally.  My partner/friend who I owned the restaurants with once mentioned that his successful father once told him, “It’s better to be a peanut grinder and owning/controlling everything than being a minor partner of a peanut factory”; perhaps good advice. Partners may be important, however they need to check their egos, power trips, etc. at the door before entering into a partnership or you will have problems down the road.  If you can get the money and contract similar talent outside the company I would strongly recommend going that route. Remember an outside consultant does not have a vested interest therefore may not have the same drive toward a common goal. A partnership needs to be just like a good team in anything whether it is a sports team or a business team; all parties need to be focused on the topic and the good of all members, not themselves.

People say to me, “Couldn’t you see this happening”? I didn’t have a crystal ball.  Perhaps in my analysis I thought it could happen, but then decided to go ahead. This was definitely the case with the restaurant, Eye of the Eagle.  We did discuss what the controlling partners could do, under worse case scenarios, and weighed the odds. Too bad the lawyer followed through with the worst case. 

Foremost, and most important, don’t forget that these results do not make for a content domestic life and or happy spouses!

Philosophically it helps if you look at life as, “the journey in life is what matters, not the end result”.




MONEY 42 - REAL ESTATE REVISITED


THIS IS MY 42ND BLOG ON UNDERSTANDING MONEY TOOLS

In this blog we are going to revisit real estate and trends in that market. I work for several of the major real estate production homebuilders and meet many of their employees to gather information including finances and market trends. I will lend a bit of this information to you, in hopes that it may help.

In 2013 the year started off as gangbusters for the residential market and new homebuilders.  Low interest rates, pent up demand since 2008 and consumer optimism created this. The past foreclosed and bank owned homes have been eased into the market place and absorbed. People who lost their credit ratings, now have credit restored and are back buying.

Sometime around July 2013, the government announced that it could not make payments come October 1st and would be out of money without Congress approvals for the debt ceiling to be raised.  As usual this went past October 1st. People/the buying market place became scared and many withdrew from making major purchases, such as homes. Fourth quarter 2013 was not good for most builders and first quarter of 2014 is off projections for most parts of the country, excluding the oil/gas parts of the country such as North Dakota, Montana, Wyoming, and Texas. The other good markets seem to be Los Angels and down the coast to San Diego, San Francisco and especially New York City.

Janet Yellen running the Federal Reserve Board as Chairperson projects a continuance of printing money, buying US Bonds and holding interest rates down through 2015. All governments are concerned about deflation in the economy.  There aren’t many more options remaining to help the economy. I have always said the government needs to step in and help middle Americans start companies and businesses if we are to have a strong future. Right now and past years since 2008, middle income Americans can’t get to money including bank loans. Money is not circulating from the profits made by big business and jobs are not paying what they did 15 years ago. We have had some inflation over the past years eroding peoples’ discretionary income.  Large US companies are relying on other countries, especially in Asia, now for 50% of their business.

In light of the above, home building is now predicted to be tepid across most of the country with very little inflation in real estate, at least for the next year or two.

Commercial/retail building in most places and for the future is predicted to be slow to non-existent.  One reason as we talked about is that there is not the money circulating for buying. Another issue is buying trends. Right now, about 30% of all retail sales is from on-line business/the internet. This is going to increase.  On-line products may be less expensive to buy, cut out the overhead of shopping centers, salaries of retail employees and other costs and you save money. The other fact is that you don’t need to spend as much time driving around, shopping various stores, and in some areas bearing the heat or cold/snow that goes with the climate.

The trend has been back to urban living. In major cities the projected building opportunities will be vertical versus horizontal building. These buildings will provide everything a person would want. On certain floors will find major companies, residential living will be on other floors with nice balconies, and also commercial/retail stores including grocery, restaurants/bars, laundries/cleaners, movie theaters, emergency medical, etc. I see the benefit in that there shouldn’t be any DUI’s given!

Land development for building is very difficult for the private or small company.  The game has changed. Similar in scope to the oil business in the mid-1980s the small or private company can’t get money and compete. As we have discussed the big publicly traded companies can pledge their stock and sell bonds through Wall Street investment banking firms. The large private companies are teaming up with A rated municipalities and selling bonds through Wall Street. Up until 2008 if a land developer took the land to final approvals with all municipalities, a home builder would then put in the infrastructure, such as water, sewer, electrical, fiber optics, etc. and build  homes. Today, homebuilders want the liability to be placed upon the land developer. The land developer borrows the money to prepare each lot, ready for the home building. The homebuilder then requests a partial release of lots, let’s say 6 at a time. What does this do? It places the primary large risk on the land developer. The homebuilder carries little land risk. Very few land developers can carry this amount of debt for an undetermined period of time.

Employment in the real estate industry is changing. Companies are thinking the same way other industries think, how to put more money to the bottom line and get more work out of the employees. Retail brokerages on the residential side know that most people go on-line to look at homes before they work with agents and companies. Residential brokerages will have smaller offices for their agents to work from, and most agents will work out of home and their cars. The offices will be very high tech. The trend is for brokerages to employ more agents, or will go to a salary type of structure with a bonus based on performance, thus the company makes more money.  Even production home builders are viewing a salary structure instead of lucrative commission structures.  As an example, a top agent may make $150,000/year. In the future, because of a surplus of real estate agents a home builder may pay a base salary of $4,000/month and then a bonus based on performance. The end result will be the agent making less than $150,000/year and the company making more money.

Isn’t it amazing to see business trends; companies making more money for the top people and middle America making less! At some point, people won’t be able to afford products, and the system fails. This trend has taken down empires and civilizations throughout history, however we never seem to learn the lessons.

Sunday, April 13, 2014

MONEY 41 - THINGS


THIS IS MY 41ST BLOG ON UNDERSTANDING MONEY TOOLS

Let’s call this blog, “Things”.  A friend of mine who is a tech consultant recently had a talk with me.  Even though he is very bright, accomplished and good at what he does he is experiencing trouble retaining good clients. According to him, which I believe, clients are really confused, not sure what is happening in the fast paced business world, only interested in getting customers (which of course means sales/money), and “flip-flopping” all around. 

I think it is the world we live in; too much information available, too fast a pace, no loyalty from the workforce or companies. “Things” are changing exponentially. So….what is my friend going to do to enhance his future and hopefully add to his skills?  Go back to college. Skills that were once valued are no longer desired by companies and people. School loans are available at relatively low rates and schools will assist you in getting loans. These loans are at relatively low rates of interest and can be paid back over a long period of time. There is almost $1 trillion in school loans outstanding in the United States, and we need more educated people if we are going to compete worldwide.

Today, a lot of tech jobs are outsourced to India and Asia. Perhaps a tech person in the USA is making $65-85/hour. Companies know they can hire very competent technology people in Asia for $3.00/hour. Some tech people here in the USA get a contract, outsource the work to a reliable individual overseas for a low hourly wage and then bill out their normal contract wage after reviewing material content and giving it final approval…..leverage at it’s finest.

What kind of schools should I look at and what is needed? First, what do you want to do with your life? Secondly, where do you want to live, or do you want to be mobile? What kind of degrees and credentials will be required in your work endeavors once you attain more education?

Let’s pick this apart a bit. The first question is the hardest. What do I want to do with my life?  It doesn’t matter if you are 10 years old or 70, many or most people really don’t know what they want to do. Not bad. I fall into that category. Many times the “tail wags the dog”, “when one window closes, another will open”. It does help if you have a focus or an interest in a subject so that you can be properly counseled.

Let’s get into philosophy. Do you want to be happy in your job or profession? How many hours a week do you want to work?  How much independence do you need in your work life? How much money will it take to live on or make you happy? How materialistic are you? Do you need to feel like you are in control of your work life? How much are you willing to sacrifice for a job?  There are books to take you through this process. If you want to save money and do the basics yourself, grab a yellow pad. Now, on one side of the page put wants, the other side dislikes. Start filling out line by line trying to let your feelings flow and not be too analytical. See what you come up with.

Secondly, if you forgot what second is it’s where do you want to live or be mobile.  Today’s world does permit you to work almost any place, computers and the internet make it possible.  I recently had coffee with another friend who is a computer hardware expert; he can work anywhere. He is looking at a company where you can adopt boats, and working while he cruises! Some charge a small fee with title transfer.  Owners have donated their boats to be adopted by new owners who will take very good care of them.  Just like the Human Society! This friend is thinking of adopting a sailboat and cruising either the Atlantic or Pacific Coast, pretty exciting. Perhaps get a dog or cat to go with you!  For one source check out Northeast Sailboat Rescue.

How about something exciting and another dimension? English is the big worldwide language, and Asia is one of the places teachers are welcomed to teach “conversational English”. One friend of mine taught in Japan, and another decided to change his life and is now teaching in China. These jobs don’t require a master’s degree and pay is relatively low, however it is an experience and adventure. You need to check out the reputation of the company offering the job, and make sure housing is included.  Housing in Asia and many countries can be very expensive and difficult to get.

Back to education.   If you are intending to teach at a school or university once you get more skills/education, you will most likely need a master’s degree from an accredited, recognized school. If it is only refining your skills for today’s work environment, there are many on-line courses a person can take from numerous colleges, universities and people who are putting out information covering various topics on the internet. “MOOC” would be one way, (Massive Open Online Course). Coursera is a site that represents various universities for accredited and non-accredited courses. The company will guide a person as to what courses may be taken, tuition, etc. and on-line. You can get information on some of the top US universities and colleges.

Another website to go to for improving your skills is Udemy.  This site offers tutorials on various subjects. Also, if you are an authority on a subject you can possibly teach a class. This is a good way to learn more, or give back to society for higher education.

Remember companies are trying to do more with fewer people. One man I respect who is changing an industry is Elon Musk the creator of Tesla cars. He started out in the technology industry making a lot of money, then decided to change the auto industry and improve it. For one, his cars are battery driven, nice looking, safe, and fast. He named the car after Nikola Tesla, a Serbian American from the 1800’s who assisted people such as Thomas Edison and George Westinghouse.  Nikola was a futurist in his thinking as well as an electrical engineer and physicist.

Besides building a great automobile, Elon Musk is trying to change the way cars are sold. Instead of buying the cars through dealerships, he retails cars from places people normally go in masses, like shopping malls. Dealerships across the country don’t like this, however business is changing. There are a few drawbacks to the battery car, but time will change all of this. Obvious weaknesses are:
-       Number of locations for electrical charges
-       Time it takes for a full charge of the batteries
-       Cost of the automobile
-    Distance that can be driven between electrical charges